MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTORToronto Blue Jays58%
HOUHouston Astros42%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterTrey YesavageProbable
Model pickTOR moneyline58%Model 20260803_auto
HOUHome starterHayden WesneskiProbable
TOR58%ML +110
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability46%Selected moneyline pick
HOU42%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Trey YesavageTOR starter / away
Projected K5.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.575%
O 4.559%
O 5.542%
O 6.528%
O 7.517%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Hayden WesneskiHOU starter / home
Projected K4.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.582%
O 3.565%
O 4.547%
O 5.530%
O 6.518%
O 7.59%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -132TOR / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total