MLB / mlb / live
TEX 3 / HOU 7TEXTexas Rangers45%
HOUHouston Astros55%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterKumar RockerConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
HOUHome starterPeter LambertConfirmed
TEX45%ML +116
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
HOU55%ML -136
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kumar RockerTEX starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 draftkings / U +106 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.565%over
O 4.546%over
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Peter LambertHOU starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -110 betonlineag / U +100 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.582%over
O 4.568%over
O 5.552%over
O 6.537%over
O 7.524%over
O 8.515%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -136TEX / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+151)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total