MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTEXTexas Rangers51%
HOUHouston Astros49%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterNathan EovaldiProbable
Model pickTEX moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
HOUHome starterHunter BrownProbable
TEX51%ML +107
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability46%Selected moneyline pick
HOU49%ML -128
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Hunter BrownHOU starter / home
Projected K6.1
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.593%
O 3.584%
O 4.571%
O 5.556%
O 6.540%
O 7.527%
O 8.517%
O 9.510%
O 10.55%
O 11.53%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+107 / -128TEX / HOU moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total