MLB / mlb / live
TEX 0 / HOU 2TEXTexas Rangers52%
HOUHouston Astros48%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterJack Leiter
Model pickTEX moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
HOUHome starterSpencer Arrighetti
TEX52%ML -110
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
HOU48%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -108TEX / HOU moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-175)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total