MLB / mlb / live
NYY 4 / HOU 7NYYNew York Yankees55%
HOUHouston Astros45%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterLuis Gil
Model pickNYY moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
HOUHome starterSpencer Arrighetti
NYY55%ML -139
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
HOU45%ML +116
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-139 / +116NYY / HOU moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-134)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -105
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total