MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPITPittsburgh Pirates46%
DETDetroit Tigers54%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterBubba ChandlerProbable
Model pickDET moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
DETHome starterJackson JobeProbable
PIT46%ML -110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
DET54%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Bubba ChandlerPIT starter / away
Projected K4.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.581%
O 3.564%
O 4.545%
O 5.529%
O 6.517%
O 7.59%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jackson JobeDET starter / home
Projected K5.2
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.575%
O 4.558%
O 5.541%
O 6.527%
O 7.516%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-110 / -108PIT / DET moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -106 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total