MLB / mlb / live
WSN 3 / DET 1WSNWashington Nationals41%
DETDetroit Tigers59%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterRiley CornelioConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
DETHome starterDrew AndersonConfirmed
WSN41%ML +129
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
DET59%ML -152
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total7.9
Market total8.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Riley CornelioWSN starter / away
Projected K2.9Actual 4 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.578%over
O 2.555%over
O 3.533%over
O 4.517%under
O 5.58%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Drew AndersonDET starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -145 fanatics / U +126 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+129 / -152WSN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -118 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total