MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals41%
DETDetroit Tigers59%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterRichard LoveladyProbable
Model pickDET moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
DETHome starterFramber ValdezProbable
WSN41%ML +150
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
DET59%ML -179
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Richard LoveladyWSN starter / away
Projected K2.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.561%
O 2.535%
O 3.516%
O 4.56%
O 5.52%
O 6.51%
O 7.50%
O 8.50%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Framber ValdezDET starter / home
Projected K4.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.580%
O 3.563%
O 4.545%
O 5.528%
O 6.516%
O 7.59%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+150 / -179WSN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+123)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total