MLB / mlb / live
MIN 2 / DET 7MINMinnesota Twins54%
DETDetroit Tigers46%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterZebby MatthewsConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline54%Model 20260907_auto
DETHome starterKeider MonteroConfirmed
MIN54%ML +106
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
DET46%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 bovada / U -123 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%under
O 3.567%under
O 4.548%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Keider MonteroDET starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +124 fanduel / U -155 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.571%under
O 3.551%under
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+106 / -125MIN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total