MLB / mlb / live
COL 2 / DET 6COLColorado Rockies44%
DETDetroit Tigers56%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterMason AdamsConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
DETHome starterFramber ValdezConfirmed
COL44%ML +154
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
DET56%ML -185
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Mason AdamsCOL starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -142 draftkings / U +122 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.561%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%over
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Framber ValdezDET starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -126 draftkings / U +107 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%under
O 3.565%under
O 4.547%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+154 / -185COL / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+119)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -112
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total