MLB / mlb / live
LAD 2 / DET 1LADLos Angeles Dodgers53%
DETDetroit Tigers47%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterTarik SkubalConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline53%Model 20260824_auto
DETHome starterDrew AndersonConfirmed
LAD53%ML -188
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
DET47%ML +157
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tarik SkubalLAD starter / away
Projected K7.2Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -157 draftkings / U +135 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 6.558%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.592%over
O 4.583%over
O 5.571%over
O 6.558%over
O 7.544%under
O 8.531%under
O 9.521%under
O 10.513%under
O 11.58%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Drew AndersonDET starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +105 betmgm / U -122 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%over
O 2.570%over
O 3.550%over
O 4.531%over
O 5.517%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-188 / +157LAD / DET moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-111)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -122
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total