MLB / mlb / live
BAL 0 / DET 14BALBaltimore Orioles45%
DETDetroit Tigers55%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterDean KremerConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
DETHome starterTroy MeltonConfirmed
BAL45%ML +123
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
DET55%ML -147
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dean KremerBAL starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -145 betmgm / U +120 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Troy MeltonDET starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -120 betmgm / U +107 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.564%over
O 5.548%under
O 6.532%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+123 / -147BAL / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+136)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -102 / U -120
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total