MLB / mlb / live
NYY 4 / DET 2NYYNew York Yankees48%
DETDetroit Tigers52%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterRyan WeathersConfirmed
Model pickDET moneyline52%Model 20260622_auto
DETHome starterTarik SkubalConfirmed
NYY48%ML +112
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
DET52%ML -134
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -110 bovada / U +102 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.548%over
O 6.533%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Tarik SkubalDET starter / home
Projected K6.6Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -130 fanatics / U +125 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 6.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.578%over
O 5.564%over
O 6.549%over
O 7.535%over
O 8.523%over
O 9.515%under
O 10.59%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+112 / -134NYY / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+166)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -103 / U -124
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total