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MIN 4 / DET 10
MINMinnesota Twins55%
DETDetroit Tigers45%

at Comerica Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
MINAway starterTaj Bradley
Model pickMIN moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterTroy Melton
MIN55%ML +110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
DET45%ML -128

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#7
Total lean · analyst-timeOver
Model-market gap · analyst-time9.4 pts

Model favors MIN 55.2% vs market 45.9% (large disagreement flag). Bradley's 2.08 ERA with 18.69 K/9 in 4.1 IP is micro-sample noise; Melton's missing stats suggest fallback but DET home has value. Market likely correct here. Total: model 9.09 vs market 8.5 in neutral park argues mild over lean.

Large model-market gap

Projection Context

Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+110 / -128MIN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total