MLB / mlb / live
CLE 3 / DET 2CLECleveland Guardians42%
DETDetroit Tigers58%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickDET moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterStarter TBD
CLE42%ML -118
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
DET58%ML +100
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time11.3 pts
DET starter is TBD with fallback data. Model predicts DET at 57.5% while market implies CLE 53.8% — an 11-point gap favoring the home side with no verified pitcher. Model's 9.22 total is 1.72 runs over market's 7.5 in a pitcher park. Structural uncertainty too high to take a position.
pitcher data fallbackLarge model-market gaptotal far from marketoffense defense mismatch
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-118 / +100CLE / DET moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-166)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -120
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total