MLB / mlb / live
CLE 3 / DET 2CLECleveland Guardians42%
DETDetroit Tigers58%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickDET moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterStarter TBD
CLE42%ML -118
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
DET58%ML +100
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap9.5 pts
DET starter is TBD with fallback data. Model predicts DET at 57.5% while market implies CLE 53.8% — an 11-point gap favoring the home side with no verified pitcher. Model's 9.22 total is 1.72 runs over market's 7.5 in a pitcher park. Structural uncertainty too high to take a position.
pitcher data fallbackLarge model-market gaptotal far from marketoffense defense mismatch
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-118 / +100CLE / DET moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-166)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -120
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total