MLB / mlb / live
TEX 1 / DET 5TEXTexas Rangers52%
DETDetroit Tigers48%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterKumar Rocker
Model pickTEX moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterKeider Montero
TEX52%ML +112
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
DET48%ML -134
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#11
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time7.0 pts
DET pitcher Montero has fallback data with only 4.1 IP across 10 'starts' (0.4 IP/start suggests bulk reliever usage or data error). TEX pitcher Rocker has no stats at all. Market has DET favored at 54.8%, model has TEX at 52.2% — a coin flip with no reliable pitcher context. Without starter info, cannot form a defensible view.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+112 / -134TEX / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total