MLB / mlb / live
TEX 1 / DET 7TEXTexas Rangers59%
DETDetroit Tigers41%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterJack Leiter
Model pickTEX moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
DETHome starterTyler Holton
TEX59%ML +100
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
DET41%ML -120
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time11.0 pts
Tyler Holton has 0.2 IP in 10 'starts' (likely opener role); Jack Leiter has null stats across all categories. Both pitchers effectively have no usable data. Market disagreement is large (model 58.6% TEX vs market 47.6% TEX) but without real pitcher context this is unreadable. Passing entirely.
Large model-market gapoffense defense mismatch
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -120TEX / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total