MLB / mlb / live
scheduledARIArizona Diamondbacks52%
COLColorado Rockies48%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMerrill KellyProbable
Model pickARI moneyline52%Model 20260921_auto
COLHome starterMason AdamsProbable
ARI52%ML -159
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
COL48%ML +134
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total11.5
Market total11.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Merrill KellyARI starter / away
Projected K4.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.577%
O 3.558%
O 4.539%
O 5.523%
O 6.513%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Mason AdamsCOL starter / home
Projected K3.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%
O 2.568%
O 3.548%
O 4.529%
O 5.516%
O 6.58%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-159 / +134ARI / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -110 / U -112
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total