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SEA 5 / COL 4
SEASeattle Mariners58%
COLColorado Rockies42%

at Coors Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
SEAAway starterBryan WooConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline58%Model 20260914_auto
COLHome starterGabriel HughesConfirmed
SEA58%ML -186
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
COL42%ML +156

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#3
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-timeN/A

SEA is the clear side: .793 OPS and 5.7 RPG against COL's .531 OPS and 3.8 RPG, with Woo (3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 9.04 K/9) opposite a TBD arm proxied at 6.01 ERA/1.55 WHIP. Model's 57.4% looks light for that gap. No market total, so no total view despite Coors at 1.47 PF.

pitcher data fallbackextreme parkmarket data missing

Projection Context

Projected margin1.7
Projected total11.5
Market total10.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Bryan WooSEA starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -143 betonlineag / U +120 fanatics4 books at this line
Model over 4.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.553%under
O 5.536%under
O 6.522%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.

Gabriel HughesCOL starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 6 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +100 betmgm / U -110 bovada5 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%over
O 4.536%over
O 5.521%over
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus-186 / +156SEA / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total