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MLB / mlb / live

SDP 3 / COL 9
SDPSan Diego Padres57%
COLColorado Rockies43%

at Coors Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
SDPAway starterWalker BuehlerConfirmed
Model pickSDP moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
COLHome starterKyle FreelandConfirmed
SDP57%ML -196
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
COL43%ML +162

Projection Context

Projected margin0.8
Projected total12.2
Market total11.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Walker BuehlerSDP starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +128 draftkings / U -142 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%under
O 2.570%under
O 3.550%under
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.

Kyle FreelandCOL starter / home
Projected K3.9Actual 1 K / Under 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -120 betmgm / U +117 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 2.574%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%under
O 2.574%under
O 3.554%under
O 4.535%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus-196 / +162SDP / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+104)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -114 / U -107
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total