MLB / mlb / live
BAL 5 / COL 6BALBaltimore Orioles57%
COLColorado Rockies43%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterTrevor RogersConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline57%Model 20260831_auto
COLHome starterTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
BAL57%ML -184
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
COL43%ML +154
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.3
Market total11.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Trevor RogersBAL starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 11 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 betmgm / U -130 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 5.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.557%over
O 5.540%over
O 6.526%over
O 7.515%over
O 8.58%over
O 9.54%over
O 10.52%over
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 11 strikeouts.
Tomoyuki SuganoCOL starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -112 draftkings / U -111 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-184 / +154BAL / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.5O -103 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total