MLB / mlb / live
BAL 2 / COL 4BALBaltimore Orioles55%
COLColorado Rockies45%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterKyle BradishConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline55%Model 20260831_auto
COLHome starterGabriel HughesConfirmed
BAL55%ML -156
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
COL45%ML +130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.4
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle BradishBAL starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 fanatics / U +105 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 4.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.558%over
O 4.539%under
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Gabriel HughesCOL starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 betonlineag / U +120 betrivers5 books at this line
Model over 3.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-156 / +130BAL / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-118)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -119 / U -104
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total