MLB / mlb / live
CLE 9 / COL 1CLECleveland Guardians58%
COLColorado Rockies42%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterJoey CantilloConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260817_auto
COLHome starterTanner GordonConfirmed
CLE58%ML -152
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
COL42%ML +130
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total9.2
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Joey CantilloCLE starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -116 draftkings / U -105 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%over
O 5.545%under
O 6.530%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Tanner GordonCOL starter / home
Projected K3.6Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +140 betonlineag / U -162 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%over
O 2.568%under
O 3.547%under
O 4.529%under
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-152 / +130CLE / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total