MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTBRTampa Bay Rays58%
COLColorado Rockies42%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterFreddy PeraltaProbable
Model pickTBR moneyline58%Model 20260803_auto
COLHome starterGabriel HughesProbable
TBR58%ML -147
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
COL42%ML +124
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.4
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Freddy PeraltaTBR starter / away
Projected K4.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.580%
O 3.563%
O 4.544%
O 5.528%
O 6.516%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Gabriel HughesCOL starter / home
Projected K3.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.573%
O 3.553%
O 4.535%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-147 / +124TBR / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-123)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total