MLB / mlb / live
TBR 4 / COL 0TBRTampa Bay Rays58%
COLColorado Rockies42%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterNick MartinezConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline58%Model 20260803_auto
COLHome starterTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
TBR58%ML -159
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
COL42%ML +137
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.5
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Nick MartinezTBR starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +100 draftkings / U -113 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.544%over
O 4.526%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Tomoyuki SuganoCOL starter / home
Projected K3.4Actual 3 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O -106 betrivers / U -111 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 2.566%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.544%under
O 4.526%under
O 5.514%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-159 / +137TBR / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -114 / U -107
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total