MLB / mlb / live
SFG 3 / COL 8SFGSan Francisco Giants53%
COLColorado Rockies47%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterAdrian Houser
Model pickSFG moneyline53%Model 20260414_1
COLHome starterRyan Feltner
SFG53%ML -116
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
COL47%ML -103
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#11
Total leanUnder
Model-market gap1.7 pts
Model predicts 9.46 runs vs market 11.0 at Coors (PF 1.47). Model likely underweighting park; market reflects Coors reality better. SFG slight comparison at -118 aligns with model's 53% vs market's 53%. Lean SFG on side, under on total despite venue—both teams struggling offensively (COL .531 OPS, SFG .388 OPS).
total far from marketextreme park
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.5
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-116 / -103SFG / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -117 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total