MLB / mlb / live
NYM 2 / COL 6NYMNew York Mets55%
COLColorado Rockies45%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterChristian Scott
Model pickNYM moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
COLHome starterJose Quintana
NYM55%ML -152
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
COL45%ML +128
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total lean · analyst-timeUnder
Model-market gap · analyst-time2.5 pts
Model predicts 9.44 runs at Coors (PF 1.47), market set at 11.0. The 1.56-run gap flags structural underweight of park factor. Scott's missing season stats create total uncertainty. NYM pick at lean confidence: model/market agree on side (~55% vs Pinnacle 58%), but Coors totals demand caution when pitcher data incomplete.
total far from marketextreme park
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.4
Market total11.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-152 / +128NYM / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-122)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -105 / U -114
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total