MLB / mlb / live
LAD 12 / COL 3LADLos Angeles Dodgers57%
COLColorado Rockies43%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterJustin Wrobleski
Model pickLAD moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
COLHome starterJose Quintana
LAD57%ML -262
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability69%Selected moneyline pick
COL43%ML +210
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total leanUnder
Model-market gap11.8 pts
Market has LAD at 71.6% implied, model at 57.4%. Coors Field (PF 1.47) drives model total to 9.41 vs market 11.5—a 2-run gap. Model systematically underweights Coors inflation; market likely correct on total. LAD's offense (.743 OPS, 4.9 RPG) vs COL (.531 OPS, 3.6 RPG) supports away win but model confidence seems low given team quality gap.
Large model-market gaptotal far from marketextreme park
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.4
Market total11.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-262 / +210LAD / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+132)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.5O -106 / U -114
30 books28 ML23 run line20 total