MLB / mlb / live
TOR 1 / CLE 6TORToronto Blue Jays39%
CLECleveland Guardians61%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterSpencer MilesConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline61%Model 20260831_auto
CLEHome starterGavin WilliamsConfirmed
TOR39%ML +150
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
CLE61%ML -180
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Spencer MilesTOR starter / away
Projected K2.8Actual 0 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.576%under
O 2.553%under
O 3.531%under
O 4.516%under
O 5.57%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Gavin WilliamsCLE starter / home
Projected K7.2Actual 13 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +125 betonlineag / U -145 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 6.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.591%over
O 4.582%over
O 5.570%over
O 6.556%over
O 7.542%over
O 8.530%over
O 9.520%over
O 10.512%over
O 11.57%over
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 13 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+150 / -180TOR / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total