MLB / mlb / live
SDP 1 / CLE 6SDPSan Diego Padres43%
CLECleveland Guardians57%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterWandy PeraltaConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline57%Model 20260810_auto
CLEHome starterJoey CantilloConfirmed
SDP43%ML -102
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
CLE57%ML -115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Wandy PeraltaSDP starter / away
Projected K1.9Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.557%under
O 2.531%under
O 3.513%under
O 4.55%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.50%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Joey CantilloCLE starter / home
Projected K6.0Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 betmgm / U -138 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.584%over
O 4.571%over
O 5.555%over
O 6.540%over
O 7.527%under
O 8.517%under
O 9.510%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-102 / -115SDP / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -112 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total