MLB / mlb / live
NYM 6 / CLE 5NYMNew York Mets52%
CLECleveland Guardians48%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterChristian ScottConfirmed
Model pickNYM moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
CLEHome starterTanner BibeeConfirmed
NYM52%ML -105
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
CLE48%ML -112
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Christian ScottNYM starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betrivers / U -144 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.563%over
O 5.546%over
O 6.531%over
O 7.520%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Tanner BibeeCLE starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 10 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 betmgm / U +104 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%over
O 7.511%over
O 8.56%over
O 9.53%over
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-105 / -112NYM / CLE moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-190)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total