MLB / mlb / live
scheduledNYMNew York Mets46%
CLECleveland Guardians54%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterSean ManaeaProbable
Model pickCLE moneyline54%Model 20260803_auto
CLEHome starterJoey CantilloProbable
NYM46%ML +130
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
CLE54%ML -155
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Sean ManaeaNYM starter / away
Projected K4.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.584%
O 3.568%
O 4.550%
O 5.533%
O 6.520%
O 7.511%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Joey CantilloCLE starter / home
Projected K7.0
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.596%
O 3.591%
O 4.581%
O 5.568%
O 6.554%
O 7.540%
O 8.528%
O 9.518%
O 10.511%
O 11.56%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+130 / -155NYM / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+142)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total