MLB / mlb / live
scheduledARIArizona Diamondbacks55%
CLECleveland Guardians45%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMitch BrattProbable
Model pickARI moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
CLEHome starterTanner BibeeProbable
ARI55%ML +111
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability45%Selected moneyline pick
CLE45%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Mitch BrattARI starter / away
Projected K3.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%
O 2.565%
O 3.544%
O 4.526%
O 5.513%
O 6.56%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Tanner BibeeCLE starter / home
Projected K4.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.561%
O 4.542%
O 5.526%
O 6.515%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+111 / -132ARI / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+149)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -116 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total