MLB / mlb / live
NYY 3 / CLE 2NYYNew York Yankees56%
CLECleveland Guardians44%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterGerrit Cole
Model pickNYY moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterSlade Cecconi
NYY56%ML -121
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
CLE44%ML +102
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.5
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-121 / +102NYY / CLE moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total