MLB / mlb / live
BOS 3 / CLE 4BOSBoston Red Sox45%
CLECleveland Guardians55%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterTyler Samaniego
Model pickCLE moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterSlade Cecconi
BOS45%ML +105
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
CLE55%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -125BOS / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+168)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total