MLB / mlb / live
CIN 4 / CLE 7CINCincinnati Reds42%
CLECleveland Guardians58%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterChris Paddack
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterJoey Cantillo
CIN42%ML +144
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability61%Selected moneyline pick
CLE58%ML -172
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+144 / -172CIN / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -114
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total