MLB / mlb / live
CIN 3 / CLE 10CINCincinnati Reds42%
CLECleveland Guardians58%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterBrady Singer
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterGavin Williams
CIN42%ML +140
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
CLE58%ML -165
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+140 / -165CIN / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total