MLB / mlb / live
LAA 2 / CLE 7LAALos Angeles Angels37%
CLECleveland Guardians63%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterBrent Suter
Model pickCLE moneyline63%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterJoey Cantillo
LAA37%ML +145
Base model probability63%Moneyline only
CLE63%ML -175
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time3.0 pts
Away pitcher is TBD with fallback stats. Cantillo has only 3.2 IP over 10 starts (injured/opener role?). Model's 8.61 total vs market 7.5 is a 1.1 run gap but with no real pitcher data on either side. Market at 61.1% CLE vs model 58.1% shows modest disagreement. Pass entirely due to pitcher uncertainty.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin1.2
Projected total8.6
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+145 / -175LAA / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
31 books29 ML23 run line21 total