MLB / mlb / live
BAL 2 / CLE 4BALBaltimore Orioles42%
CLECleveland Guardians58%
at Progressive Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterShane Baz
Model pickCLE moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CLEHome starterParker Messick
BAL42%ML +105
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
CLE58%ML -124
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -124BAL / CLE moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total