MLB / mlb / live
STL 10 / CIN 9STLSt. Louis Cardinals46%
CINCincinnati Reds54%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Model pickCIN moneyline54%Model 20260817_auto
CINHome starterBrady SingerConfirmed
STL46%ML -112
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CIN54%ML -105
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael McGreevySTL starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -102 fanduel / U -120 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Brady SingerCIN starter / home
Projected K5.5Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +108 betrivers / U -128 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 4.563%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%under
O 4.563%under
O 5.547%under
O 6.532%under
O 7.520%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-112 / -105STL / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -121 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total