MLB / mlb / live
MIA 8 / CIN 4MIAMiami Marlins41%
CINCincinnati Reds59%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterRyan GustoConfirmed
Model pickCIN moneyline59%Model 20260810_auto
CINHome starterBrady SingerConfirmed
MIA41%ML -104
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
CIN59%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan GustoMIA starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +100 fanatics / U -115 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.533%over
O 5.519%over
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Brady SingerCIN starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betrivers / U -135 betonlineag4 books at this line
Model over 5.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%under
O 5.554%under
O 6.538%under
O 7.525%under
O 8.516%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-104 / -110MIA / CIN moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total