MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPITPittsburgh Pirates51%
CINCincinnati Reds49%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterYohan RamírezProbable
Model pickPIT moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
CINHome starterRhett LowderProbable
PIT51%ML -114
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
CIN49%ML -104
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Yohan RamírezPIT starter / awayThin data
Projected K3.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.570%
O 3.549%
O 4.531%
O 5.517%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Rhett LowderCIN starter / home
Projected K4.6
Best price at 4.54.5O -135 betmgm / U +116 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.549%
O 5.532%
O 6.519%
O 7.511%
O 8.55%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-114 / -104PIT / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -111 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total