MLB / mlb / live
ATL 8 / CIN 3ATLAtlanta Braves55%
CINCincinnati Reds45%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterGrant Holmes
Model pickATL moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
CINHome starterChris Paddack
ATL55%ML -138
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
CIN45%ML +116
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-138 / +116ATL / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total