MLB / mlb / live
WSN 8 / CIN 7WSNWashington Nationals42%
CINCincinnati Reds58%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterJake Irvin
Model pickCIN moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CINHome starterNick Lodolo
WSN42%ML +138
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
CIN58%ML -164
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+138 / -164WSN / CIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+124)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -120 / U -103
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total