MLB / mlb / live
COL 2 / CHW 4COLColorado Rockies47%
CHWChicago White Sox53%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterKyle FreelandConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline53%Model 20260921_auto
CHWHome starterAnthony KayConfirmed
COL47%ML +135
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
CHW53%ML -162
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle FreelandCOL starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +128 draftkings / U -145 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%under
O 3.558%under
O 4.540%under
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +110 betonlineag / U -111 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.556%over
O 4.538%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+135 / -162COL / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -106 / U -118
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total