MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPITPittsburgh Pirates44%
CHWChicago White Sox56%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPITAway starterLake BacharProbable
Model pickCHW moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
CHWHome starterDavis MartinProbable
PIT44%ML +128
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
CHW56%ML -155
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lake BacharPIT starter / away
Projected K3.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%
O 2.559%
O 3.537%
O 4.520%
O 5.510%
O 6.54%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Davis MartinCHW starter / home
Projected K3.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%
O 2.566%
O 3.544%
O 4.526%
O 5.514%
O 6.56%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+128 / -155PIT / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -118
25 books24 ML18 run line17 total