MLB / mlb / live
CIN 9 / CHW 8CINCincinnati Reds44%
CHWChicago White Sox56%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew AbbottConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline56%Model 20260810_auto
CHWHome starterDavis MartinConfirmed
CIN44%ML +115
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
CHW56%ML -136
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Andrew AbbottCIN starter / away
Projected K4.7Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -133 draftkings / U +115 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%under
O 4.550%under
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Davis MartinCHW starter / home
Projected K2.7Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -124 draftkings / U +105 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.514%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.574%over
O 2.550%over
O 3.529%under
O 4.514%under
O 5.56%under
O 6.52%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+115 / -136CIN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
31 books29 ML23 run line21 total