MLB / mlb / live
CLE 3 / CHW 6CLECleveland Guardians52%
CHWChicago White Sox48%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterGavin WilliamsConfirmed
Model pickCLE moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
CHWHome starterAnthony KayConfirmed
CLE52%ML -130
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
CHW48%ML +110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Gavin WilliamsCLE starter / away
Projected K7.5Actual 7 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -142 fanduel / U +125 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 7.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.593%over
O 4.585%over
O 5.574%over
O 6.561%over
O 7.547%under
O 8.534%under
O 9.523%under
O 10.515%under
O 11.59%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +128 betonlineag / U -157 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.547%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-130 / +110CLE / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total