MLB / mlb / live
scheduledNYYNew York Yankees51%
CHWChicago White Sox49%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterGerrit ColeProbable
Model pickNYY moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
CHWHome starterAnthony KayProbable
NYY51%ML -136
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
CHW49%ML +114
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.6
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Gerrit ColeNYY starter / away
Projected K5.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.578%
O 4.562%
O 5.545%
O 6.531%
O 7.519%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.6
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.549%
O 5.532%
O 6.519%
O 7.511%
O 8.55%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-136 / +114NYY / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -113
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total