MLB / mlb / live
NYY 9 / CHW 5NYYNew York Yankees51%
CHWChicago White Sox49%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterMax FriedConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline51%Model 20260727_auto
CHWHome starterNoah SchultzConfirmed
NYY51%ML -143
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
CHW49%ML +120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.4
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Max FriedNYY starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betonlineag / U -148 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%under
O 5.536%under
O 6.523%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Noah SchultzCHW starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -125 betmgm / U +115 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.544%over
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-143 / +120NYY / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total